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NVIDIANVDA -0.03%95 Shiller PE Ratio is 138.16 as of Sep. 13, 2026, which is 19% below its 10-year median of 169.90. GuruFocus rates NVDA with a GF Score™ of 95/100 and a GF Value™ of $387.37 (Possible Value Trap). The stock has 4 warning signs investors should review. Among 550 Semiconductors companies, NVIDIA ranks worse than 86.18% on this metric.
As of today (2026-09-13), NVIDIA's current share price is $218.29. NVIDIA's E10 for the quarter that ended in Jul. 2026 was $1.58. NVIDIA's Shiller PE Ratio for today is 138.16.
The historical rank and industry rank for NVIDIA's Shiller PE Ratio or its related term are showing as below:
NVDA'
s Shiller PE Ratio Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 64.24 Med: 169.9 Max: 399.64
Current: 138.21
During the past years, NVIDIA's highest Shiller PE Ratio was 399.64. The lowest was 64.24. And the median was 169.90.
NVDA's Shiller PE Ratio is ranked worse than 86.18% of 550
companies
in the Semiconductors industry
Industry Median: 41.855
vs NVDA: 138.21
E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years.
NVIDIA's adjusted earnings per share data for the three months ended in Jul. 2026 was $2.460. Add all the adjusted EPS for the past 10 years together and divide 10 will get our E10, which is $1.58 for the trailing ten years ended in Jul. 2026.
Shiller PE for Stocks: The True Measure of Stock Valuation
Compared with the regular PE Ratio, which works poorly for cyclical businesses, the Shiller PE Ratio smoothed out the fluctuations of profit margins during business cycles. Therefore it is more accurate in reflecting the valuation of the company.
If a company has consistent business performance, the Shiller PE Ratio should give similar results to regular PE Ratio.
Compared with the PS Ratio, the Shiller PE Ratio makes the comparison between different industries more meaningful.
Be Aware
Shiller PE Ratio assumes that over the long term, businesses and profitability revert to their means. If a company's business model does not work in the future compared with the past, Shiller PE Ratio and PS Ratio will give false valuations.
NVIDIA Shiller PE Ratio Related Terms
NVIDIA Shiller PE Ratio Historical Data
* Premium members only.
The historical data trend for NVIDIA's Shiller PE Ratio can be seen below:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
NVDA vs AVGO, MU, AMD: Shiller PE Ratio Comparison
For the Semiconductors subindustry, NVIDIA's Shiller PE Ratio, along with its competitors' market caps and Shiller PE Ratio data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
NVIDIA Shiller PE Ratio vs Semiconductors Industry
For the Semiconductors industry and Technology sector, NVIDIA's Shiller PE Ratio distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where NVIDIA's Shiller PE Ratio falls into.
For Shiller PE Ratio, the earnings of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/E calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Shiller PE Ratio is also called PE10.
The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller to measure the valuation of the overall market. The same calculation is applied here to individual companies.
NVIDIA's Shiller PE Ratio for today is calculated as
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
NVIDIA's E10 for the quarter that ended in Jul. 2026 is calculated as:
For example, NVIDIA's adjusted earnings per share data for the three months ended in Jul. 2026 was:
Add all the adjusted EPS together and divide 10 will get our E10.
Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.
NVIDIA (NVDA) has a Shiller PE Ratio of 138.16 as of Sep. 13, 2026. Shiller price-earnings ratio is the ratio of share price to a company's inflation-adjusted earnings over a 10-year period. View historical data on NVIDIA and its competitors. This is 19% below median its historical median of 169.90. Over the past decade, NVIDIA's Shiller PE Ratio has ranged from 64.24 to 399.64. According to the industry distribution chart, NVIDIA ranks #474 out of 550 companies in the Semiconductors industry, placing it in the top 86.2%.
Is NVIDIA's Shiller PE Ratio too high?
NVIDIA's current Shiller PE Ratio of 138.16 is 19% below median its 10-year median of 169.90. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 64.24 to a high of 399.64. The Semiconductors industry median Shiller PE Ratio is 41.86. NVIDIA's value of 138.16 is 230.1% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, NVIDIA ranks #474 out of 550 companies in the Semiconductors industry, which is in the bottom quartile relative to peers. Overall, NVIDIA has a GF Score™ of 95/100 and is considered Possible Value Trap, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does NVIDIA's Shiller PE Ratio compare to AVGO and MU?
According to the Semiconductors industry distribution chart, NVIDIA ranks #474 out of 550 companies for Shiller PE Ratio. This places NVIDIA in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Shiller PE Ratio is 41.86. NVIDIA's value of 138.16 is 230.1% above this benchmark. Historically, NVIDIA's own Shiller PE Ratio has ranged from 64.24 to 399.64 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 169.90 vs. the industry median of 41.86, NVIDIA has consistently been above the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Shiller PE Ratio for a Semiconductors company?
The median Shiller PE Ratio among Semiconductors companies is 41.86, based on 550 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Shiller PE Ratio significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Shiller PE Ratio should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. NVIDIA's current Shiller PE Ratio of 138.16 is 230.1% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Shiller PE Ratio mean?
A high Shiller PE Ratio can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Shiller price-earnings ratio is the ratio of share price to a company's inflation-adjusted earnings over a 10-year period. View historical data on NVIDIA and its competitors. For the Semiconductors industry, the median Shiller PE Ratio is 41.86 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. NVIDIA's current Shiller PE Ratio is 138.16, which is 19% below median its own 10-year median of 169.90. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is NVIDIA stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, NVIDIA (NVDA) is currently considered Possible Value Trap. The stock's GF Value™ is $387.37, compared to a current price of $218.29 — trading 43.6% below its estimated fair value. The current Shiller PE Ratio is 138.16, which is 19% below median its 10-year median of 169.90 and 230.1% above the Semiconductors industry median of 41.86. NVIDIA's overall GF Score™ is 95/100 with 4 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Shiller PE Ratio calculated?
Shiller PE Ratio is calculated from a company's financial statements. For NVIDIA (NVDA), the current Shiller PE Ratio is 138.16 as of Sep. 13, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.
Is NVIDIA (NVDA) Overvalued in 2026?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, NVIDIA stock appears to be undervalued.
The current stock price of $218.29 is trading 43.6% below its estimated GF Value™ of $387.37.
GuruFocus considers NVIDIA to be Possible Value Trap.
Key valuation signals for NVDA:
Shiller PE Ratio: 138.16 (19% below median its 10-year median of 169.90)
GF Value™: $387.37 vs. price of $218.29 (43.6% below fair value)
Industry Position: 230.1% above the Semiconductors median (#474 of 550)
No single metric tells the full story. See the NVDA stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.
Nvidia is a leading developer of graphics processing units. Traditionally, GPUs were used to enhance the experience on computing platforms, most notably in gaming applications on PCs. GPU use cases have since emerged as important semiconductors used in artificial intelligence to run large language models. Nvidia not only offers AI GPUs, but also a software platform, Cuda, used for AI model development and training. Nvidia is also expanding its data center networking solutions, helping to tie GPUs together to handle complex workloads.
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